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 Richard Hunter, Gartner Vice President |

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War Games Scenario – Digital Pearl Harbor
Wednesday, 9 October 2002
Picture this: a small group of hackers sitting on a luxury yacht somewhere out in the Mediterranean pushes a button in order to launch a massive cyber attack on the United States. Everything shuts down. No power, no telephones, no computers. As citizens run screaming through the streets thousands of miles away, the hackers lift glasses of champagne to toast their success.
Could this happen?
Gartner vice president Richard Hunter posed the scenario Tuesday morning, at his keynote overview on Digital Pearl Harbor right before admitting his prior skepticism of the potential reality of such an attack. He has since changed his mind.
To explore the possibility of what is referred to as a "Digital Pearl Harbor," a potentially devastating cyber attack, Mr. Hunter teamed up with other Gartner analysts and the Naval War College to create a war game that would test the vulnerability of the U.S. Four areas of the national infrastructure were targeted power, telecom, Internet and financial and groups of civilian attackers were organized to devise crippling strategies. Although the outcome would be unknown until the end of the exercise, the objective was clear: create a scenario that would answer the question, Can you pull off a cyber attack that would alter the strategic balance of power and change the way the world works?
The result? Although Mr. Hunter was quick to point out that cyber tools of attack were not quite ready to replace more traditional methods of warfare, the potential for a large-scale cyber attack by a group of terrorists is very real. And the resources used could be as basic as the existing networks and systems accessible to anyone, anywhere.
You can see a Webcast of Mr. Hunter's complete talk here.
Rachael Schmeck Gartner Staff
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